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2017 General Election

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 Post subject: 2017 General Election
PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 11:28 am 
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Location: Handforth, Cheshire, just half a mile across the border with fantastic Greater Manchester
Predictions?

Mine are:

1, Tory majority increasing to approx. 50

2, Lib Dems pick up Labour marginals

3, Labour down to about 100 seats

4, SNP hold on to all of theirs

5, UKIP pick up 2 or 3 ex Labour seats in the North

6, Its all shit

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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 11:34 am 
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Split opposition of about 250-300. 50 SNP, 150-225 Labour, 25-50 LD and other.

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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:00 pm 
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Location: The small back room, Edinburgh, SCOTLAND!!!11!!
Lib Dems'll pick up some Tory marginals in the south. There were places last time where Labour people who used to vote Lib Dem tactically voted for us, the Lib Dem vote went down and the Tory came through the middle on a similar or (in a few cases) reduced vote from 2010.

Also it'll be interesting to see if there might be some anti-Tartan Tory voting up here.

I'm trying to look at this in a professional manner to stop myself throwing the computer across the room and having a screaming fit. It is barely working.

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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:06 pm 
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Diane and Jez can fuck off says neighbouring Labour MP

Quote:
David Lammy‏ @DavidLammy
I'm going nowhere. I will be fighting hard to keep Tottenham Labour on June 8 and keep Haringey Labour too @CatherineWest1 #GeneralElection https://twitter.com/DavidLammy/status/8 ... 5370603521


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:07 pm 
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What happens if the Tories are the biggest party but with no majority? If the other parties refuse to go into coalition with them could they, the other parties, form a majority government?


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:08 pm 
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Agnes wrote:
Lib Dems'll pick up some Tory marginals in the south. There were places last time where Labour people who used to vote Lib Dem tactically voted for us, the Lib Dem vote went down and the Tory came through the middle on a similar or (in a few cases) reduced vote from 2010.

Also it'll be interesting to see if there might be some anti-Tartan Tory voting up here.

I'm trying to look at this in a professional manner to stop myself throwing the computer across the room and having a screaming fit. It is barely working.


I expect a handful of losses for the SNP - last time's high water mark was quite remarkable.
It's SNP or Tories might shave a seat or two here or there.

If the Tories get a 2nd, expect to see Ruth Davidson launched as a "Modern face" of the Tories outside London.


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:10 pm 
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:13 pm 
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I'm listening to that ghastly woman on the telly at the moment - I never thought I'd hate someone as much as I hate the Grocer's Daughter, but I think she's just been eclipsed. It is very clear that this is all about Brexit - a sort of Referendum 2.

God (or your chosen deity, or none at all) help us.


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:40 pm 
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Location: Sunny Surrey where the vines sit smugly in the sunshine.
Just seen some interviews on Palace Green.
Tories saying "Worrabout Corbyn?" on every possible occasion.

The liability will take us down, further than we have ever been before.

I will not be working for the party in this election. In all conscience I can't try to persuade people to vote for a government that would, if elected, be so incompetent and so diametrically opposed to what the under represented people of this nation need.

In fact, I will be out of the country, and considering myself well served.

This is a huge sadness to me.

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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:41 pm 
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Likewise, she's an authoritarian nationalist nutter but she doesn't quite know it.


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:43 pm 
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Given that this GE is effectively all about Brexit and nothing else - what chance is there that Corbyn et al are likely to be ousted in their seats by an anti-Brexit candidate?


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:50 pm 
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Radio 5 phone in: Obviously self-selecting and unscientific.

Quite a few callers are either Labour or Tory who will be holding their noses and voting LibDem.
Likewise a few "10 year Kippers" who feel safe to return to the Tories.

John Curtice is on, he's usually a sensible voice in these situations.


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:54 pm 
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Who would benefit from a low turnout?


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 1:03 pm 
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Yay for another election! After the vote in 2015, and the vote in 2016, imagine how much fun the one this year will be!


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 18, 2017 1:07 pm 
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Bones McCoy wrote:
Radio 5 phone in: Obviously self-selecting and unscientific.

Quite a few callers are either Labour or Tory who will be holding their noses and voting LibDem.

Could this be the joker in the pack that no-one has accounted for?


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